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The purpose of the additional step is to determine the expected compensation for the primary disorder. If the actual compensation falls within the calculated range, then a second disorder does not coexist. If the calculated value does not match the measured value, then a mixed disorder is present or compensation has not had time to occur. The expected compensation is calculated by using one of 4 formulas based on the primary process: metabolic acidosis, metabolic alkalosis, respiratory acidosis, or respiratory alkalosis. Metabolic conditions are generally compensated fairly quickly by the respiratory system by eliciting an alteration in the PCO2 level. The Winters formula predicts the expected degrees of compensation in a stable, steady-state metabolic disorder:
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If the actual PCO2 is higher than calculated with Winters formula, then a respiratory acidosis is mostly likely present in addition to the metabolic acid-base disorder. If the PCO2 is greater than 50 to 55 mm Hg, then respiratory acidosis is almost certainly present. On the other hand, if the actual PCO2 is lower than that calculated with Winters formula, especially if PCO2 is less than 40 mm Hg, then a respiratory alkalosis is most likely present in addition to primary metabolic condition. The larger the difference between the calculated and actual values, the more likely that the deviation is clinically significant.
In a respiratory condition, the nurse must first determine if the process is acute or chronic. It is extremely important to know the clinical history to properly apply the formulas. An acute state is defined as less than 8 hours, and it takes 24 hours for the kidneys to achieve maximal compensation, which produces a chronic state. For every decrease of 10 mm Hg in PCO2 from normal (40 mm Hg) in respiratory alkalosis, the bicarbonate level should decrease from normal (24 mmol/L) by 2 mmol/L in an acute condition and 5 mmol/L in a chronic condition. Conversely, every increase of 10 mm Hg in PCO2 seen in respiratory acidosis should cause an increase of 1 mmol/L in bicarbonate for acute conditions and an increase of 4 mmol/L in chronic conditions.
Many of the medical calculators such as Med-math and Medcalc have Winters formula as a standard calculation. I have found that the more you use the formulas, the easier they are to recall and commit to memory. I believe that this final step will prove to be a useful tool in the diagnosis of complex overlapping conditions that nurses face daily in their critically ill patients.
Selected References
We appreciate the letter written in response to our article, and agree with the use of Winters formula as a handy bedside tool in the diagnosis of acid-base disorders. We would also like to emphasize that in the critically ill patient, mixed acid-base disorders can coexist.
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